The Ceasefire Is Here. Markets Are Surging.
After months of conflict, rising energy costs, and failed negotiations, the U.S. and Iran have agreed to a ceasefire deal. A formal peace agreement is expected to be signed as early as this week, with a memorandum already in place to reopen the Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes. Markets responded immediately. Stocks, crypto, and precious metals all moved higher on Monday morning as investors priced in what could be the most significant geopolitical shift of 2026.
Bitcoin surged over 4% to open the week, reclaiming $90,000 CAD and posting its highest Monday opening price since early June. Ethereum climbed nearly 4% alongside it. The reopening of shipping lanes means oil prices are expected to fall meaningfully, which would reduce inflation pressure and open the door for the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts, a scenario that has historically been a powerful tailwind for digital assets.
The investors who stayed positioned through the difficult weeks of June are waking up to meaningful gains this morning. This is what patient participation looks like.
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Market Intelligence & Action
Weekly Snapshot (June 9 – June 15, 2026)
A strong week across the board as the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement drove a broad market rally on Monday morning. Bitcoin and Ethereum both posted solid weekly gains as oil prices fell on the Strait of Hormuz reopening news. Silver extended its remarkable year-to-date run, now up over 100% in 2026, while gold held firm near recent levels.
| Asset | Week Open (CAD) | Current Level (CAD) | 7-Day Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTC | $86,500 | $90,000 | +4.0% |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $2,310 | $2,400 | +3.9% |
| Litecoin (LTC) | $59 | $60 | +1.7% |
| USD Coin (USDC) | $1.36 | $1.36 | 0.0% |
| Gold (XAU/oz) | $5,900 | $5,940 | +0.7% |
| Silver (XAG.oz) | $95 | $97 | +2.1% |
This Week’s Updates
1. Macro: Ceasefire Deal Reshapes the Rate and Inflation Outlook
The U.S.-Iran ceasefire memorandum signed Sunday evening triggered an immediate repricing across global markets. The Strait of Hormuz reopening means oil supply constraints that have driven inflation for months are set to ease, with oil prices falling sharply on the news. Lower energy costs directly reduce CPI pressure, which changes the Fed’s rate calculus in a meaningful way. Markets are now pricing in a higher probability of rate cuts by year end, a shift that has historically preceded strong rallies in both equities and crypto. Stocks opened higher Monday across North American and Asian markets.
Pro Tip: Macro tailwinds of this scale do not appear often. A combination of easing inflation, falling oil, and potential rate cuts arriving together is the kind of environment that has historically driven significant gains in digital assets over the months that follow.
2. Industry News: Bitcoin Surges and Corporates Keep Buying
Bitcoin opened Monday at its highest level in over two weeks, jumping above $90,000 CAD as ceasefire news hit. Ethereum gained nearly 4% alongside it. Total crypto market capitalization climbed toward $2.38 trillion. On the institutional side, Strategy added 1,587 BTC to its treasury this week while Bitmine acquired 76,881 ETH, both reinforcing that corporate conviction in digital assets remains firmly intact through the volatility. Silver, meanwhile, extended its extraordinary 2026 run and is now up over 100% year-to-date, one of the best-performing assets globally.
Market Insight: When the macro headwind that has been pressuring markets for months lifts all at once, the assets most suppressed by that headwind tend to recover fastest. Bitcoin and crypto have been living under inflation and rate pressure since early 2026. That pressure is now easing.
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The RapidEX Knowledge Centre
Why Macro Events Move Crypto Markets
New investors are often surprised to see Bitcoin jump 4% because of a peace deal between two countries. Crypto is supposed to be decentralized and independent, so why does a geopolitical headline move the price? The answer comes down to how Bitcoin increasingly sits inside the broader investment ecosystem.
Risk-On vs. Risk-Off. Investors broadly divide assets into two categories: risk-on (stocks, crypto, growth assets) and risk-off (gold, bonds, cash). When fear rises, money flows into safety. When fear eases, money flows back into risk assets. A ceasefire deal removes fear from the market, so institutional investors rotate back into Bitcoin and equities simultaneously. This is why crypto often moves with stocks on big macro news days.
Inflation and Interest Rates. Bitcoin is particularly sensitive to interest rate expectations. When inflation is high, central banks raise rates, making cash and bonds more attractive relative to speculative assets. When inflation falls (as it does when oil prices drop), rate cut expectations rise, making Bitcoin and other growth assets relatively more attractive. This is why the Strait of Hormuz reopening is so meaningful for crypto specifically.
Institutional Integration. As more institutions hold Bitcoin through ETFs and treasury allocations, the asset is increasingly managed alongside traditional portfolios. That means when macro sentiment shifts, institutional rebalancing flows move Bitcoin too. This was not true five years ago. It is very true in 2026.
The RapidEX View: Understanding why prices move helps you stay calm when they fall and confident when they rise. This week is a clear example of macro and crypto moving together. The investors who understood the connection were positioned for it.
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